Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#228
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#234
Pace63.1#283
Improvement+2.3#70

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#290
First Shot-5.6#312
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#109
Layup/Dunks-0.4#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#323
Freethrows+1.1#103
Improvement+0.2#166

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#161
First Shot-0.9#194
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#41
Layups/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
Freethrows-1.2#250
Improvement+2.1#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 4   @ Kentucky L 64-87 2%     0 - 1 -0.5 -3.2 +4.1
  Nov 15, 2016 347   Longwood W 66-60 92%     1 - 1 -14.3 -17.4 +3.0
  Nov 28, 2016 260   @ Louisiana Monroe L 72-77 46%     1 - 2 -8.2 +2.8 -11.2
  Dec 01, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 62-78 5%     1 - 3 -1.4 -4.5 +2.6
  Dec 07, 2016 193   UAB L 73-84 50%     1 - 4 -15.2 +0.9 -16.5
  Dec 10, 2016 158   @ Rice L 63-70 24%     1 - 5 -4.0 -0.5 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2016 126   Tulsa L 51-74 27%     1 - 6 -21.0 -15.5 -7.6
  Dec 23, 2016 316   Southern Miss W 67-64 72%     2 - 6 -7.4 -1.5 -5.6
  Dec 25, 2016 48   Utah L 66-74 9%     2 - 7 +2.9 +1.5 +0.8
  Dec 31, 2016 219   Houston Baptist W 61-51 57%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +3.8 -14.5 +18.7
  Jan 02, 2017 319   @ McNeese St. L 54-69 64%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -23.1 -19.7 -4.1
  Jan 07, 2017 305   @ Abilene Christian L 60-69 59%     3 - 9 1 - 2 -15.6 -11.4 -4.8
  Jan 11, 2017 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 79-46 55%     4 - 9 2 - 2 +27.5 +6.8 +22.3
  Jan 14, 2017 318   Nicholls St. W 80-60 80%     5 - 9 3 - 2 +7.0 -5.7 +11.1
  Jan 19, 2017 207   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 61-58 35%     6 - 9 4 - 2 +2.6 -6.1 +9.0
  Jan 21, 2017 309   @ Incarnate Word L 68-70 62%     6 - 10 4 - 3 -9.3 -2.7 -6.8
  Jan 25, 2017 314   Central Arkansas W 78-76 79%     7 - 10 5 - 3 -10.8 -4.0 -6.7
  Jan 28, 2017 189   New Orleans W 71-61 48%     8 - 10 6 - 3 +6.2 +1.8 +4.9
  Feb 02, 2017 246   @ Sam Houston St. L 63-72 44%     8 - 11 6 - 4 -11.6 -6.8 -5.0
  Feb 04, 2017 300   @ Northwestern St. W 75-73 OT 58%     9 - 11 7 - 4 -4.3 -7.7 +3.3
  Feb 09, 2017 309   Incarnate Word W 87-79 78%     10 - 11 8 - 4 -4.4 +10.5 -14.4
  Feb 16, 2017 233   Lamar W 70-61 61%     11 - 11 9 - 4 +1.9 -1.1 +3.8
  Feb 18, 2017 249   @ SE Louisiana W 60-52 44%     12 - 11 10 - 4 +5.3 -3.0 +9.3
  Feb 23, 2017 189   @ New Orleans L 65-82 30%     12 - 12 10 - 5 -15.8 -3.6 -12.6
  Feb 25, 2017 314   @ Central Arkansas W 90-85 OT 63%     13 - 12 11 - 5 -2.7 +4.2 -7.2
  Mar 02, 2017 300   Northwestern St. L 67-72 75%     13 - 13 11 - 6 -16.3 -10.6 -5.9
  Mar 04, 2017 246   Sam Houston St. W 64-56 63%     14 - 13 12 - 6 +0.3 -3.4 +4.5
  Mar 09, 2017 233   Lamar W 75-59 51%     15 - 13 +11.4 +8.1 +5.4
  Mar 10, 2017 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-77 45%     15 - 14 -10.9 +1.4 -13.1
Projected Record 15.0 - 14.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%